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The Original
BOX OFFICE FORECAST
by Brandon Gray
The most accurate box office predictions since 1998.

Predictions are generally posted after the Box Office Derby deadline (early Friday) so as not to influence that contest. They are solely the opinion of Brandon Gray and do not incorporate any insider info. Only stats on this site that are available to all are used in his formulations.

Last update: 6/14/07
 

Blue = Predicted Weekend Gross
Total Gross / Week #

Red = Actual Weekend Gross
Total Gross / Week #

Purple = % Weekend Accuracy
(Predictions and actuals in $ millions)


PUBLISHER'S NOTE: The full Forecast is on hiatus (with limited updates), and its future is under consideration.

6/15-17

1

Fantastic Four: Rise of the Silver Surfer
(3,957 theaters)

59.0
59 / 1

-

Ocean's Thirteen

18.7
69 / 2

-

Nancy Drew
(2,612 theaters)

11.0
11 / 1

Test Your Predicting Prowess in the 'Box Office Derby'
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5/25-28
4-day Memorial Day weekend

1

Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End
(4,362 theaters)

170.4
189 / 1

2

Shrek the Third

77.0
227 / 2

5/18-20

1

Shrek the Third
(4,122 theaters)

95.3
95.3 / 1

5/4-6

1

Spider-Man 3
(4,252 theaters)

138.2
138.2 / 1

4/6-8

1

Grindhouse
(2,500 theaters)

29.5
29.5 / 1

-

Are We Done Yet?
(2,877 theaters)

13.5
17.7 / 1

-

The Reaping
(2,603 theaters)

13.0
16.0 / 1

-

Firehouse Dog
(2,860 theaters)

5.4
7.1 / 1


3/30-4/1

1

Blades of Glory
(3,372 theaters)

38.4
38.4 / 1

2

Meet the Robinsons
(3,413 theaters)

32.0
32.0 / 1

3

TMNT

11.6
40.8 / 2

4

300

11.0
179.4 / 4

5

Wild Hogs

9.0
136.0 / 5

6

Shooter

8.3
27.5 / 2

-

The Lookout
(955 theaters)

3.0
3.0 / 1


3/23-25

1

300

18.1
159.8 / 3

2

TMNT
(3,110 theaters)

16.8
16.8 / 1

3

Shooter
(2,806 theaters)

15.3
15.3 / 1

4

Wild Hogs

12.5
121.9 / 4

5

Premonition

10.1
32.1 / 2

6

The Hills Have Eyes 2
(2,447 theaters)

8.0
8.0 / 1

7

Reign Over Me
(1,671 theaters)

6.2
6.2 / 1

8

The Last Mimzy
(3,017 theaters)

5.7
5.7 / 1

9

Pride
(1,518 theaters)

4.0
4.0 / 1


3/16-18

1

300

35.8
132.3 / 2

2

Wild Hogs

18.4
103.7 / 3

3

Premonition
(2,831 theaters)

15.9
15.9 / 1

4

Dead Silence
(1,803 theaters)

9.0
9.0 / 1

5

I Think I Love My Wife
(1,776 theaters)

8.6
8.6 / 1


3/9-11

1

300
(3,103 theaters)

42.7
42.7 / 1


2/23-25

1

Ghost Rider

19.3
78.2 / 2

2

Bridge to Terabithia

12.2
44.9 / 2

3

The Number 23
(2,759 theaters)

10.6
10.6 / 1

4

Reno 911!: Miami
(2,703 theaters)

9.7
9.7 / 1

-

The Astronaut Farmer
(2,155 theaters)

5.4
5.4 / 1

-

The Abandoned
(1,000 theaters)

3.4
28.4 / 1


2/9-11

1

Norbit
(3,136 theaters)

28.4
28.4 / 1

2

Hannibal Rising
(3,003 theaters)

15.5
15.5 / 1


2/2-4

1

The Messengers
(2,528 theaters)

15.0
15.0 / 1

2

Because I Said So
(2,526 theaters)

12.6
12.6 / 1

-

Epic Movie

7.6
28.7 / 2

-

Smokin' Aces

6.9
25.5 / 2


1/26-28

1

Epic Movie
(2,801 theaters)

14.0
14.0 / 1

-

Smokin' Aces
(2,204 theaters)

10.3
10.3 / 1

-

Catch and Release
(1,622 theaters)

4.6
4.6 / 1

-

Blood and Chocolate
(1,200 theaters)

1.7
1.7 / 1


1/19-21

1

Night at the Museum

11.7
204.6 / 5

2

The Hitcher
(2,831 theaters)

11.5
11.5 / 1

3

Stomp the Yard

9.8
38.0 / 2

4

Dreamgirls

7.8
77.2 / 6

5

The Pursuit of Happyness

6.8
146.6 / 6

6

Freedom Writers

5.3
26.6 / 3

Forecast Archive

2006

OCTOBER-DECEMBER

JULY-SEPTEMBER

APRIL-JUNE

JANUARY-MARCH

2005

OCTOBER-DECEMBER

JULY-SEPTEMBER

APRIL-JUNE

JANUARY-MARCH

2004

OCTOBER-DECEMBER

JULY-SEPTEMBER

APRIL-JUNE

JANUARY-MARCH

2003

OCTOBER-DECEMBER

JULY-SEPTEMBER

APRIL-JUNE

JANUARY-MARCH

2002

OCTOBER-DECEMBER

JULY-SEPTEMBER

APRIL-JUNE

JANUARY-MARCH

2001
Average Accuracy: 86.47%

OCTOBER–DECEMBER

JULY-SEPTEMBER

APRIL-JUNE

JANUARY-MARCH

2000
Average Accuracy: 85.02%

OCTOBER-DECEMBER

JULY-SEPTEMBER

APRIL-JUNE

JANUARY-MARCH

1999

OCTOBER-DECEMBER

JULY-SEPTEMBER

APRIL-JUNE

JANUARY-MARCH

1998

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