|
The Original
BOX OFFICE FORECAST™
by Brandon Gray
The most accurate
box office predictions since 1998.
Blue = Prediction Red = Actual Purple = % Accuracy
(Predictions and actuals in $ millions)
JULY-SEPTEMBER, 2002
9/27-29
|
1 |
Sweet Home Alabama (3,293 theaters) |
24.7 |
|
|
|
2 |
The Tuxedo (3,022 theaters) |
13.2 |
|
|
|
3 |
Barbershop |
8.4 |
|
|
|
4 |
My Big Fat Greek Wedding |
8.0 |
|
|
|
5 |
The Banger Sisters |
6.8 |
|
|
|
6 |
The Four Feathers |
4.1 |
|
|
|
7 |
Ballistic: Ecks vs. Sever |
3.4 |
|
|
|
8 |
One Hour Photo |
2.9 |
|
|
|
9 |
Signs |
2.4 |
|
|
|
10 |
SwimFan |
2.0 |
|
|
9/20-22
|
1 |
The Four Feathers (1,912 theaters) |
12.5 |
6.9
|
18.84% |
|
2 |
Barbershop |
12.3 |
12.8
|
96.09% |
|
3 |
My Big Fat Greek Wedding (1,853 theaters) |
10.4 |
9.7
|
92.78% |
|
4 |
The Banger Sisters (2,736 theaters) |
9.4 |
10.0
|
94.00% |
|
5 |
Ballistic: Ecks vs. Sever (2,705 theaters) |
7.6 |
7.0
|
91.43% |
|
6 |
One Hour Photo |
5.2 |
4.6
|
86.96% |
|
7 |
Signs |
3.8 |
3.5
|
91.43% |
|
8 |
SwimFan |
3.4 |
3.5
|
97.14% |
|
9 |
Trapped (2,227 theaters) |
3.2 |
3.2
|
100.00% |
|
10 |
City by the Sea |
2.8 |
2.0
|
60.00% |
|
11 |
Stealing Harvard |
2.6 |
3.3
|
78.79% |
9/13-15
|
1 |
My Big Fat Greek Wedding (1,764 theaters) |
9.3 |
|
|
|
2 |
Barbershop (1,605 theaters) |
9.0 |
|
|
|
3 |
SwimFan |
6.1 |
|
|
|
4 |
One Hour Photo (1,177 theaters) |
5.7 |
|
|
|
5 |
Signs |
5.4 |
|
|
|
6 |
City by the Sea |
5.3 |
|
|
|
7 |
Stealing Harvard (2,366 theaters) |
4.4 |
|
|
|
8 |
XXX |
3.4 |
|
|
|
9 |
Spy Kids 2 |
1.9 |
|
|
|
10 |
Austin Powers in Goldmember |
1.8 |
|
|
9/6-8
|
1 |
My Big Fat Greek Wedding (1,696 theaters) |
10.2 |
|
|
|
2 |
SwimFan (2,855 theaters) |
9.6 |
|
|
|
3 |
Signs |
8.4 |
|
|
|
4 |
City by the Sea (2,575 theaters) |
6.4 |
|
|
|
5 |
XXX |
5.6 |
|
|
|
6 |
Spy Kids 2 |
3.7 |
|
|
|
7 |
Austin Powers in Goldmember |
3.4 |
|
|
|
8 |
Spider-Man / Men in Black II (2,078 theaters) |
3.1 |
|
|
|
9 |
Blue Crush |
2.5 |
|
|
|
10 |
Fear Dot Com |
2.4 |
|
|
|
11 |
The Good Girl |
2.0 |
|
|
|
12 |
One Hour Photo |
1.8 |
|
|
8/30-9/2
|
1 |
Signs |
16.8 |
|
|
|
2 |
My Big Fat Greek Wedding (1,619 theaters) |
12.9 |
|
|
|
3 |
XXX |
12.0 |
|
|
|
4 |
Spy Kids 2 |
9.1 |
|
|
|
5 |
Fear Dot Com (2,550 theaters) |
6.3 |
|
|
|
6 |
Austin Powers in Goldmember |
5.9 |
|
|
|
7 |
Blue Crush |
5.8 |
|
|
|
8 |
Serving Sara |
4.1 |
|
|
|
9 |
The Good Girl (667 theaters) |
3.4 |
|
|
|
10 |
Simone |
3.2 |
|
|
|
11 |
Undisputed |
3.1 |
|
|
|
12 |
Road to Perdition |
3.1 |
|
|
8/23-25
|
1 |
Signs |
12.8 |
14.3
|
89.51% |
|
2 |
XXX |
12.6 |
13.3
|
94.74% |
|
3 |
Serving Sara (2,154 theaters) |
8.1 |
5.8
|
60.34% |
|
4 |
My Big Fat Greek Wedding (1,326 theaters) |
7.2 |
7.3
|
98.63% |
|
5 |
Spy Kids 2 |
7.0 |
7.6
|
92.11% |
|
6 |
Blue Crush |
6.7 |
6.5
|
96.92% |
|
7 |
Simone (1,920 theaters) |
5.7 |
3.8
|
50.00% |
|
8 |
Austin Powers in Goldmember |
5.5 |
5.5
|
100.00% |
|
9 |
Undisputed (1,102 theaters) |
5.2 |
4.5
|
84.44% |
|
10 |
Blood Work |
3.0 |
2.8
|
92.86% |
8/16-18
|
1 |
Blue Crush (3,002 theaters) |
21.6 |
14.2
|
47.89% |
|
2 |
XXX |
19.6 |
22.1
|
88.69%
|
|
3 |
Signs |
18.0 |
19.4
|
92.78% |
|
4 |
Spy Kids 2 |
9.7 |
11.5
|
84.35% |
|
5 |
Austin Powers in Goldmember |
7.3 |
8.7
|
83.91% |
|
6 |
Adventures of Pluto Nash (2,320 theaters) |
6.0 |
2.2
|
0% |
|
7 |
Blood Work |
4.4 |
4.8
|
91.67% |
|
8 |
My Big Fat Greek Wedding (1,060 theaters) |
4.0 |
5.7
|
70.18%
|
|
9 |
Road to Perdition |
3.1 |
3.8
|
81.58%
|
|
10 |
The Master of Disguise |
3.0 |
3.2
|
93.75% |
8/9-11
|
1 |
XXX (3,374 theaters) |
54.8 |
44.5
|
76.85% |
|
2 |
Signs |
35.7 |
29.5
|
78.98% |
|
3 |
Spy Kids 2 (3,307 theaters) |
18.6 |
16.7
|
88.80% |
|
4 |
Austin Powers in Goldmember |
15.3 |
13.1
|
83.21% |
|
5 |
Blood Work (2,525 theaters) |
9.1 |
7.3
|
75.34% |
|
6 |
The Master of Disguise |
5.9 |
5.1
|
84.31% |
|
7 |
Road to Perdition |
4.1 |
4.2
|
97.62% |
|
8 |
Martin Lawrence Live: Runteldat |
3.5 |
3.1
|
87.10% |
|
9 |
Stuart Little 2 |
3.4 |
2.7
|
74.07% |
|
10 |
Men in Black II |
2.8 |
2.1
|
66.67% |
8/2-4
|
1 |
Signs (3,264 theaters) |
49.0 |
|
|
|
2 |
Austin Powers in Goldmember |
34.0 |
|
|
|
3 |
The Master of Disguise (2,565 theaters) |
11.2 |
|
|
|
4 |
Road to Perdition |
7.7 |
|
|
|
5 |
Stuart Little 2 |
6.9 |
|
|
|
6 |
Martin Lawrence Live: Runteldat (752 theaters) |
5.6 |
|
|
|
7 |
Men in Black II |
4.7 |
|
|
|
8 |
K-19: The Widowmaker |
4.1 |
|
|
|
9 |
My Big Fat Greek Wedding (657 theaters) |
3.5 |
|
|
|
10 |
The Country Bears (2,553) |
2.8 |
|
|
7/26-28
|
1 |
Austin Powers in Goldmember (3,613 theaters) |
69 |
|
|
|
2 |
Road to Perdition |
10.9 |
|
|
|
3 |
Stuart Little 2 |
8.9 |
|
|
|
4 |
Men in Black II |
8.8 |
|
|
|
5 |
K-19: The Widowmaker |
6.8 |
|
|
|
6 |
The Country Bears (2,553) |
5.6 |
|
|
|
7 |
Mr. Deeds |
4.5 |
|
|
|
8 |
Reign of Fire |
4.0 |
|
|
|
9 |
Lilo & Stitch |
3.1 |
|
|
|
10 |
Eight Legged Freaks (2,530) |
2.9 |
|
|
7/19-21
|
1 |
Stuart Little 2 (3,255 theaters) |
24.7 |
|
|
|
2 |
K-19: The Widowmaker (2,828) |
16.8 |
|
|
|
3 |
Road to Perdition |
15.7 |
|
|
|
4 |
Eight Legged Freaks (2,530) |
15.0 |
|
|
|
5 |
Men in Black II |
13.2 |
|
|
|
6 |
Reign of Fire |
7.7 |
|
|
|
7 |
Mr. Deeds |
6.7 |
|
|
|
8 |
Lilo & Stitch |
5.3 |
|
|
|
9 |
The Crocodile Hunter |
5.3 |
|
|
|
10 |
Halloween: Resurrection |
4.8 |
|
|
7/12-14
|
1 |
Men in Black II (3,611 theaters) |
24.2 |
|
|
|
2 |
Reign of Fire (2,629) |
23.0 |
|
|
|
3 |
Road to Perdition (1,797) |
19.1 |
|
|
|
4 |
Mr. Deeds (3,239) |
11.1 |
|
|
|
5 |
The Crocodile Hunter (2,525) |
10.3 |
|
|
|
6 |
Halloween: Resurrection (1,954) |
8.5 |
|
|
|
7 |
Lilo & Stitch (2,940) |
8.2 |
|
|
|
8 |
Minority Report (2,419) |
7.7 |
|
|
|
9 |
Like Mike (2,436) |
7.4 |
|
|
|
10 |
The Bourne Identity (2,191) |
6.8 |
|
|
7/5-7
(3-day / 5-day weekends for openers)
|
1 |
Men in Black II (3,557 theaters) |
62.2 / 96.5 |
|
|
|
2 |
Mr. Deeds (3,231) |
16.7 |
|
|
|
3 |
The Powerpuff Girls (2,340) |
14.6 / 24.8 |
|
|
|
4 |
Lilo & Stitch (3,222) |
13.7 |
|
|
|
5 |
Minority Report (2,729) |
13.4 |
|
|
|
6 |
Like Mike (2,410) |
9.7 / 14.0 |
|
|
|
7 |
The Bourne Identity (2,513) |
7.1 |
|
|
|
8 |
Scooby-Doo (3,257) |
6.8 |
|
|
|
9 |
Hey Arnold! The Movie (2,534) |
2.9 |
|
|
|
10 |
The Sum of All Fears (1,592) |
2.9 |
|
|
CLICK HERE TO TEST YOUR PREDICTING PROWESS
2001 Average Accuracy: 86.47%
2000 Average Accuracy: 85.02%
Forecast Archive
2002
APRIL-JUNE
JANUARY-MARCH
2001
OCTOBER–DECEMBER
JULY-SEPTEMBER
APRIL-JUNE
JANUARY-MARCH
2000
OCTOBER-DECEMBER
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JANUARY-MARCH
1999
OCTOBER-DECEMBER
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1998
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Copyright © 1998-2003 by Brandon Gray. All Rights Reserved.
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