|
The Original
BOX OFFICE FORECAST™
by Brandon Gray
The most accurate
box office predictions since 1998.
Blue = Prediction Red = Actual Purple = % Accuracy
(Predictions and actuals in $ millions)
OCTOBER-DECEMBER, 2002
12/27-29
|
1 |
The Two Towers |
45.0 |
48.9
|
92.02% |
|
2 |
Catch Me If You Can (3,156 theaters) |
30.6 |
30.1
|
98.34% |
|
3 |
Two Weeks Notice |
15.3 |
15.5
|
98.71% |
|
4 |
Maid in Manhattan |
10.7 |
12.5
|
85.60% |
|
5 |
Gangs of New York |
10.7 |
10.9
|
98.17% |
|
6 |
Drumline |
8.5 |
8.1
|
95.06% |
|
7 |
The Wild Thornberrys |
6.9 |
7.4
|
93.24% |
|
8 |
Harry Potter and the Chamber of Secrets |
6.1 |
6.5
|
93.85% |
|
9 |
The Hot Chick |
4.4 |
4.8
|
91.67% |
|
10 |
Die Another Day |
4.3 |
4.4
|
97.73% |
|
- |
Pinocchio (1,195 theaters) |
1.3 |
1.2
|
91.67% |
12/20-22
|
1 |
The Two Towers (3,622 theaters) |
56.6 |
62.0
|
91.29% |
|
2 |
Two Weeks Notice (est. 2,500+ theaters) |
13.4 |
14.3
|
93.71% |
|
2 |
The Wild Thornberrys (est. 3,000 theaters) |
12.2 |
6.0
|
0% |
|
4 |
Maid in Manhattan |
10.8 |
10.7
|
99.07% |
|
5 |
Gangs of New York (est. 1,500 theaters) |
9.4 |
9.5
|
98.95% |
|
6 |
Star Trek: Nemesis |
7.3 |
4.4
|
34.09% |
|
7 |
Drumline |
6.7 |
7.1
|
94.37% |
|
8 |
Die Another Day |
5.4 |
4.0
|
65.00% |
|
9 |
Harry Potter and the Chamber of Secrets |
4.2 |
4.4
|
95.45% |
|
10 |
The Hot Chick |
3.7 |
4.6
|
80.43% |
12/13-15
|
1 |
Star Trek: Nemesis (2,711 theaters) |
29.6 |
18.5
|
40.00% |
|
2 |
Maid in Manhattan (2,838 theaters) |
15.1 |
18.7
|
80.75% |
|
3 |
The Hot Chick (2,217 theaters) |
14.2 |
7.4
|
8.11% |
|
4 |
Die Another Day |
7.9 |
7.8
|
98.72% |
|
5 |
Analyze That |
7.1 |
5.5
|
70.91% |
|
6 |
Harry Potter and the Chamber of Secrets |
6.4 |
6.3
|
98.41% |
|
7 |
Drumline (1,836 theaters) |
4.9 |
12.6
|
38.89% |
|
8 |
The Santa Clause 2 |
3.9 |
4.1
|
95.12% |
|
9 |
Treasure Planet |
3.4 |
3.1
|
90.32% |
|
10 |
Empire |
3.3 |
3.0
|
90.00% |
12/6-8
|
1 |
Analyze That (2,635 theaters) |
16.4 |
11.0
|
50.91% |
|
2 |
Die Another Day |
14.9 |
12.8
|
83.59% |
|
3 |
Harry Potter and the Chamber of Secrets |
13.5 |
10.1
|
66.34% |
|
4 |
The Santa Clause 2 |
5.4 |
5.3
|
98.11% |
|
5 |
Treasure Planet |
5.1 |
5.5
|
92.73% |
|
6 |
Empire (864 theaters) |
3.7 |
6.3
|
58.73% |
|
7 |
Eight Crazy Nights |
3.7 |
4.9
|
75.51% |
|
8 |
Friday After Next |
3.4 |
2.8
|
78.57% |
|
9 |
Solaris |
2.8 |
2.4
|
83.33% |
|
10 |
The Ring |
2.7 |
2.5
|
92.00% |
|
- |
Equilibrium (301 theaters) |
0.5 |
0.5
|
100.0% |
Overall Weekend Accuracy: 79.98%
11/29-12/1
|
1 |
Harry Potter and the Chamber of Secrets |
37.2 |
32.1
|
84.11% |
|
2 |
Die Another Day |
30.0 |
31.0
|
96.77% |
|
3 |
Treasure Planet (3,227 theaters) |
17.1 |
12.1
|
58.68% |
|
4 |
Eight Crazy Nights (2,503 theaters) |
15.6 |
9.4
|
34.04% |
|
5 |
The Santa Clause 2 |
11.7 |
11.7
|
96.69% |
|
6 |
Friday After Next |
7.5 |
7.4
|
98.65% |
|
7 |
The Ring |
7.3 |
5.3
|
62.26% |
|
8 |
Solaris (2,406 theaters) |
7.1 |
6.8
|
95.59% |
|
9 |
8 Mile |
5.2 |
5.8
|
89.66% |
|
10 |
They (1,615 theaters) |
4.0 |
5.1
|
78.43% |
|
11 |
The Emperor's Club |
3.9 |
3.5
|
88.57% |
|
- |
Extreme Ops (1,800 theaters) |
2.7 |
2.2
|
77.27% |
Overall Weekend Accuracy: 80.06%
11/22-24
|
1 |
Die Another Day (3,314 theaters) |
51.8 |
|
|
|
2 |
Harry Potter and the Chamber of Secrets |
49.6 |
|
|
|
3 |
Friday After Next (1,616 theaters) |
22.2 |
|
|
|
4 |
The Santa Clause 2 |
10.6 |
|
|
|
5 |
8 Mile |
9.5 |
|
|
|
6 |
The Ring |
7.7 |
|
|
|
7 |
The Emperor's Club (809 theaters) |
4.8 |
|
|
|
8 |
My Big Fat Greek Wedding |
3.7 |
|
|
|
9 |
Half Past Dead |
3.3 |
|
|
|
10 |
Frida (794 theaters) |
2.9 |
|
|
|
11 |
Jackass: The Movie |
1.9 |
|
|
11/15-17
|
1 |
Harry Potter and the Chamber of Secrets (3,682 theaters) |
78.2 |
|
|
|
2 |
8 Mile |
22.5 |
|
|
|
3 |
The Santa Clause 2 |
13.9 |
|
|
|
4 |
The Ring |
11.8 |
|
|
|
5 |
Half Past Dead (2,113 theaters) |
6.9 |
|
|
|
6 |
My Big Fat Greek Wedding |
4.9 |
|
|
|
7 |
I Spy |
4.8 |
|
|
|
8 |
Jackass: The Movie |
3.7 |
|
|
|
9 |
Frida (519 theaters) |
3.1 |
|
|
|
10 |
Sweet Home Alabama |
2.6 |
|
|
11/8-10
|
1 |
8 Mile (2,471 theaters) |
33.2 |
|
|
|
2 |
The Santa Clause 2 |
19.5 |
|
|
|
3 |
The Ring |
15.5 |
|
|
|
4 |
I Spy |
7.1 |
|
|
|
5 |
Jackass: The Movie |
6.9 |
|
|
|
6 |
My Big Fat Greek Wedding |
4.9 |
|
|
|
7 |
Ghost Ship |
3.7 |
|
|
|
8 |
Sweet Home Alabama |
3.4 |
|
|
|
9 |
Femme Fatale (1,066 theaters) |
2.7 |
|
|
|
10 |
Punch-Drunk Love |
2.5 |
|
|
11/1-3
|
1 |
I Spy (3,182 theaters) |
24.4 |
|
|
|
2 |
The Santa Clause 2 (3,350 theaters) |
21.5 |
|
|
|
3 |
The Ring (2,808 theaters) |
12.0 |
|
|
|
4 |
Jackass: The Movie |
8.1 |
|
|
|
5 |
Ghost Ship |
5.4 |
|
|
|
6 |
My Big Fat Greek Wedding |
5.3 |
|
|
|
7 |
Punch-Drunk Love (1,252 theaters) |
4.8 |
|
|
|
8 |
Sweet Home Alabama |
4.2 |
|
|
|
9 |
Red Dragon |
2.5 |
|
|
|
- |
Attack of the Clones IMAX (58 theaters) |
1.1 |
|
|
10/25-27
|
1 |
Ghost Ship (2,787 theaters) |
13.1 |
|
|
|
2 |
The Ring (2,634 theaters) |
11.1 |
|
|
|
3 |
Jackass: The Movie (2,509 theaters) |
9.4 |
|
|
|
4 |
Sweet Home Alabama |
6.6 |
|
|
|
5 |
My Big Fat Greek Wedding |
6.2 |
|
|
|
6 |
Red Dragon |
5.0 |
|
|
|
7 |
Punch-Drunk Love (481 theaters) |
4.2 |
|
|
|
8 |
Brown Sugar |
3.0 |
|
|
|
9 |
The Transporter |
2.9 |
|
|
|
10 |
The Truth About Charlie (752 theaters) |
2.6 |
|
|
|
11 |
Abandon |
2.5 |
|
|
10/18-20
|
1 |
The Ring (1,981 theaters) |
16.1 |
|
|
|
2 |
Red Dragon |
10.6 |
|
|
|
3 |
Sweet Home Alabama |
9.7 |
|
|
|
4 |
My Big Fat Greek Wedding |
7.6 |
|
|
|
5 |
Brown Sugar |
6.0 |
|
|
|
6 |
Formula 51 (1,857 theaters) |
5.8 |
|
|
|
7 |
The Transporter |
5.4 |
|
|
|
8 |
Abandon (2,341 theaters) |
4.7 |
|
|
|
9 |
The Tuxedo |
4.5 |
|
|
|
10 |
Tuck Everlasting (1,448 theaters) |
3.8 |
|
|
|
11 |
White Oleander |
3.3 |
|
|
10/11-13
|
1 |
Red Dragon |
22.0 |
|
|
|
2 |
Sweet Home Alabama |
13.6 |
|
|
|
3 |
The Transporter (2,572 theaters) |
11.7 |
|
|
|
4 |
Brown Sugar (1,372 theaters) |
8.6 |
|
|
|
5 |
Tuck Everlasting (1,185 theaters) |
7.8 |
|
|
|
6 |
My Big Fat Greek Wedding |
7.3 |
|
|
|
7 |
The Tuxedo |
6.5 |
|
|
|
8 |
The Rules of Attraction (1,430 theaters) |
5.4 |
|
|
|
9 |
White Oleander (1,510 theaters) |
4.7 |
|
|
|
10 |
Knockaround Guys (1,806 theaters) |
4.5 |
|
|
|
11 |
Barbershop |
4.2 |
|
|
|
12 |
Jonah: A VeggieTales Movie (1,134 theaters) |
4.1 |
|
|
10/4-6
|
1 |
Red Dragon (3,356 theaters) |
52.4 |
|
|
|
2 |
Sweet Home Alabama |
21.8 |
|
|
|
3 |
The Tuxedo |
9.4 |
|
|
|
4 |
My Big Fat Greek Wedding |
9.1 |
|
|
|
5 |
Barbershop |
7.4 |
|
|
|
6 |
The Banger Sisters |
3.3 |
|
|
|
7 |
Jonah: A VeggieTales Movie (940 theaters) |
3.2 |
|
|
|
8 |
Moonlight Mile (434 theaters) |
3.1 |
|
|
|
9 |
The Four Feathers |
2.1 |
|
|
|
10 |
One Hour Photo |
1.8 |
|
|
|
- |
Spirited Away (97 theaters) |
0.67 |
|
|
CLICK HERE TO TEST YOUR PREDICTING PROWESS
Forecast Archive
2002
OCTOBER-DECEMBER
JULY-SEPTEMBER
APRIL-JUNE
JANUARY-MARCH
2001
Average Accuracy: 86.47%
OCTOBER–DECEMBER
JULY-SEPTEMBER
APRIL-JUNE
JANUARY-MARCH
2000
Average Accuracy: 85.02%
OCTOBER-DECEMBER
JULY-SEPTEMBER
APRIL-JUNE
JANUARY-MARCH
1999
OCTOBER-DECEMBER
JULY-SEPTEMBER
APRIL-JUNE
JANUARY-MARCH
1998
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