BOX OFFICE MOJO
SEARCH SITE
SHOWTIMES

CONTENTS
NEWS/ANALYSIS
SHOWTIMES
RELEASE SCHEDULE
BOX OFFICE
DAILY
WEEKEND
WEEKLY
YEARLY
ALL TIME
CHART WATCH
INDICES
MOVIES A-Z
STUDIOS
PEOPLE
GENRES
FRANCHISES
SHOWDOWNS
OSCAR
THEATER COUNTS
READERS
FORUMS
THE DERBY
MOVIE HANGMAN
POLLS
GRADE MOVIES
MY ACCOUNT
THE SITE
ABOUT
ADVERTISING
SITE NEWS & Qs
DATA FEEDS
RSS FEEDS
INTERNATIONAL
BOX OFFICE
HOME

    


The Original
BOX OFFICE FORECAST
by Brandon Gray
The most accurate box office predictions since 1998.

(Predictions are usually posted after the Box Office Derby deadline (late Thursday/early Friday, 12 a.m. Pacific) so as not to influence that contest. These predictions are solely the opinion of Brandon Gray and do not incorporate any insider info like tracking reports. Only stats on this site that are readily available to all are used in his formulations.)

Last update: 1/5/06
 

Blue = Predicted Weekend Gross
Total Gross / Week #

Red = Actual Weekend Gross
Total Gross / Week #

Purple = % Weekend Accuracy
(Predictions and actuals in $ millions)

OCTOBER-DECEMBER, 2005

12/30-1/2

1

The Chronicles of Narnia

34.3
226.2 / 4

2

King Kong

33.5
176.6 / 3

3

Fun with Dick and Jane

19.8
63.6 / 2

4

Cheaper by the Dozen 2

18.5
54.5 / 2

5

The Family Stone

11.8
48.0 / 3

6

Memoirs of a Geisha

11.7
32.3 / 4

7

Rumor Has It

10.9
25.9 / 2

8

The Ringer

8.1
21.8 / 2

9

Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire

8.0
277.5 / 7

10

Munich

5.2
14.7 / 2

Test Your Predicting Prowess in the 'Box Office Derby'
CLICK HERE TO PLAY


12/23-26

1

King Kong

30.4
117.5 / 2

2

The Chronicles of Narnia

23.4
155.6 / 3

3

Fun with Dick and Jane
(3,056 theaters)

17.2
23.2 / 1

4

Cheaper by the Dozen 2
(3,100 theaters)

15.5
21.4 / 1

5

The Family Stone

8.5
27.2 / 2

6

Memoirs of a Geisha
(est. 1,400+ theaters)

6.4
9.5 / 3

7

Rumor Has It
(est. 2,800 theaters)

5.2
5.2 / 1

-

The Ringer
(est. 1,600+ theaters)

4.6
4.6 / 1

-

Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire

4.3
260.7 / 6

-

Munich
(est. 525 theaters)

4.3
4.3 / 1

-

The Producers
(est. 1,000 theaters)

2.9
3.1 / 2

-

Wolf Creek
(est. 1,700 theaters)

2.7
2.7 / 1

Test Your Predicting Prowess in the 'Box Office Derby'
CLICK HERE TO PLAY


12/16-18

1

King Kong
(3,567 theaters)

58.0
87.5 / 1

2

The Chronicles of Narnia

32.0
112.6 / 2

3

The Family Stone
(est. 2,250 theaters)

9.8
9.8 / 1

4

Syriana

6.1
23.2 / 4

5

Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire

5.9
252.7 / 5

6

Walk the Line

3.8
82.8 / 5

7

Yours, Mine and Ours

2.9
44.7 / 4

8

Just Friends

2.4
29.8 / 4

9

Aeon Flux

2.0
23.6 / 3

10

Pride and Prejudice

1.9
29.5 / 6

Test Your Predicting Prowess in the 'Box Office Derby'
CLICK HERE TO PLAY


12/9-11

1

The Chronicles of Narnia
(3,616 theaters)

52.0
52.0 / 1

65.6
65.6 / 1

79.27%

2

Syriana
(1,752 theaters)

13.1
14.6 / 3

11.7
13.2 / 3

88.03%

3

Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire

10.3
244.0 / 4

10.3
244.1 / 4

100.00%

4

Walk the Line

6.0
77.2 / 4

5.7
77.0 / 4

94.74%

5

Aeon Flux

4.7
20.3 / 2

4.6
20.2 / 2

97.83%

6

Yours, Mine and Ours

4.5
40.2 / 3

5.1
40.8 / 3

88.24%

7

Pride and Prejudice

3.4
27.3 / 5

2.6
26.5 / 5

69.23%

8

Just Friends

3.3
25.8 / 3

3.8
26.4 / 3

86.84%

9

Chicken Little

2.4
127.3 / 6

2.3
127.3 / 6

95.65%

10

Rent

2.4
27.3 / 3

2.0
26.9 / 3

80.00%

Test Your Predicting Prowess in the 'Box Office Derby'
CLICK HERE TO PLAY


12/2-4

1

Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire

21.5
231.1 / 3

19.9
229.3 / 3

91.96%

2

Walk the Line

10.3
69.2 / 3

9.5
68.3 / 3

91.58%

3

Aeon Flux
(2,608 theaters)

9.0
9.0 / 1

12.7
12.7 / 1

70.87%

4

Yours, Mine and Ours

6.7
32.9 / 2

8.3
34.4 / 2

80.72%

5

Chicken Little

4.7
124.4 / 5

4.4
124.1 / 5

93.18%

6

Pride and Prejudice

4.3
22.3 / 4

4.4
22.4 / 4

97.73%

7

Rent

4.2
23.5 / 2

4.4
23.7 / 2

95.45%

8

Just Friends

3.8
19.1 / 2

5.6
21.1 / 2

67.86%

9

Derailed

2.0
32.4 / 4

2.3
32.7 / 4

86.96%

-

In the Mix

1.4
8.2 / 2

1.9
8.6 / 2

73.68%

Test Your Predicting Prowess in the 'Box Office Derby'
CLICK HERE TO PLAY


11/25-27

1

Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire

58.8
205.2 / 2

54.7
201.0 / 2

92.50%

2

Walk the Line

17.2
51.8 / 2

19.2
54.0 / 2

89.58%

3

Yours, Mine and Ours
(3,206 theaters)

16.0
22.7 / 1

17.5
24.3 / 1

91.43%

4

Rent
(2,433 theaters)

15.2
22.3 / 1

10.0
17.7 / 1

48.00%

5

Chicken Little

13.9
120.5 / 4

12.6
118.4 / 4

89.68%

6

Just Friends
(2,505 theaters)

9.4
14.0 / 1

9.2
13.2 / 1

97.83%

7

Pride and Prejudice
(1,299 theaters)

7.7
17.1 / 3

7.2
16.0 / 3

93.06%

8

Zathura

4.2
27.0 / 3

3.5
25.8 / 3

80.00%

9

Derailed

4.0
28.5 / 3

4.6
29.3 / 3

86.96%

10

The Ice Harvest
(1,550 theaters)

3.9
5.6 / 1

3.7
5.0 / 1

94.59%

-

In the Mix
(1,608 theaters)

2.0
2.9 / 1

4.4
6.1 / 3

45.45%

Test Your Predicting Prowess in the 'Box Office Derby'
CLICK HERE TO PLAY


11/18-20

1

Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire
(3,858 theaters)

91.6
91.6 / 1

102.7
102.7 / 1

89.19%

2

Walk the Line
(2,961 theaters)

19.4
19.4 / 1

22.3
22.3 / 1

87.00%

3

Chicken Little

15.6
100.0 / 3

14.7
99.1 / 3

93.88%

4

Zathura

6.8
22.0 / 2

5.1
20.3 / 2

66.67%

5

Derailed

5.9
21.2 / 2

6.5
21.8 / 2

90.77%

6

Jarhead

5.6
55.2 / 3

4.8
54.3 / 3

83.33%

7

Get Rich or Die Tryin'

4.5
24.6 / 2

4.4
24.5 / 2

97.73%

8

Saw II

4.0
80.0 / 4

4.0
79.9 / 4

100.00%

9

The Legend of Zorro

3.4
43.9 / 4

2.4
42.8 / 4

58.33%

-

Pride and Prejudice

2.1
5.9 / 2

2.1
6.0 / 2

100.00%

Test Your Predicting Prowess in the 'Box Office Derby'
CLICK HERE TO PLAY


11/11-13

1

Chicken Little

26.4
74.5 / 2

31.7
80.4 / 2

83.28%

2

Zathura
(3,223 theaters)

20.1
20.1 / 1

13.4
13.4 / 1

50.00%

3

Get Rich or Die Tryin'
(1,652 theaters)

15.5
21.3 / 1

12.0
17.7 / 1

70.83%

4

Derailed
(2,441 theaters)

13.7
13.7 / 1

12.2
12.2 / 1

87.70%

5

Jarhead

12.2
47.0 / 2

11.7
46.5 / 2

95.73%

6

Saw II

8.6
73.2 / 3

9.1
73.9 / 3

94.51%

7

The Legend of Zorro

6.1
38.8 / 3

6.4
39.3 / 3

95.31%

8

Prime

3.6
18.5 / 3

3.9
18.9 / 3

92.31%

9

Dreamer

3.3
28.4 / 4

3.7
28.9 / 4

89.19%

10

Good Night, and Good Luck.

2.4
14.5 / 6

2.5
14.5 / 6

96.00%

Test Your Predicting Prowess in the 'Box Office Derby'
CLICK HERE TO PLAY


11/4-6

1

Chicken Little
(3,654 theaters)

38.8
38.8 / 1

40.0
40.0 / 1

97.00%

2

Jarhead
(2,410 theaters)

23.3
23.3 / 1

27.7
27.7 / 1

84.12%

3

Saw II

12.8
56.1 / 2

16.9
60.1 / 2

75.74%

4

The Legend of Zorro

9.3
29.6 / 2

10.0
30.3 / 2

93.00%

5

Dreamer

4.0
23.1 / 2

4.8
23.8 / 2

83.33%

6

Prime

3.6
11.8 / 2

5.1
13.3 / 2

70.59%

7

Good Night, and Good Luck.
(657 theaters)

3.0
10.9 / 5

3.1
11.0 / 5

96.77%

8

The Weather Man

2.5
8.3 / 2

2.9
8.6 / 2

86.21%

9

Wallace and Gromit

2.4
53.2 / 5

2.1
53.8 / 5

85.71%

-

Doom

1.8
26.2 / 3

2.0
26.4 / 3

90.00%

Test Your Predicting Prowess in the 'Box Office Derby'
CLICK HERE TO PLAY


10/28-30

1

The Legend of Zorro
(3,520 theaters)

23.6
23.6 / 1

16.3
16.3 / 1

55.21%

2

Saw II
(2,949 theaters)

17.5
17.5 / 1

31.7
31.7 / 1

55.21%

3

Doom

7.1
26.1 / 2

4.2
23.0 / 2

30.95%

5

Dreamer

6.9
18.1 / 2

6.1
17.4 / 2

86.89%

4

Prime
(1,831 theaters)

6.8
6.8 / 1

6.2
6.2 / 1

90.32%

6

Wallace and Gromit

5.2
50.6 / 4

4.3
49.7 / 4

79.07%

7

The Weather Man
(1,510 theaters)

4.2
4.2 / 1

4.2
4.2 / 1

100.00%

8

North Country

4.0
12.5 / 1

3.6
12.1 / 1

88.89%

9

The Fog

4.0
26.2 / 3

3.1
25.3 / 3

70.97%

10

Elizabethtown

3.2
23.5 / 3

2.4
22.7 / 3

66.67%


10/21-23

1

Doom
(3,044 theaters)

15.7
15.7 / 1

15.5
15.5 / 1

98.71%

2

North Country
(2,555 theaters)

8.0
8.0 / 1

6.4
6.4 / 1

75.00%

3

Wallace and Gromit

7.7
43.0 / 3

8.6
43.9 / 3

89.53%

4

Dreamer
(2,007 theaters)

6.9
6.9 / 1

9.2
9.2 / 1

75.00%

5

Elizabethtown

5.8
19.0 / 2

5.6
18.8 / 2

96.43%

6

The Fog

5.7
19.9 / 2

6.7
20.9 / 2

85.07%

7

Flightplan

4.0
76.5 / 5

4.7
77.3 / 5

85.11%

8

In Her Shoes

3.8
26.1 / 3

3.9
26.2 / 3

97.44%

9

Stay
(1,684 theaters)

3.1
3.1 / 1

2.2
2.2 / 1

59.00%

-

Domino

2.3
8.6 / 2

2.3
8.6 / 2

100.00%


10/14-16

1

The Fog
(2,972 theaters)

13.0
13.0 / 1

11.8
11.8 / 1

89.83%

2

Elizabethtown
(2,517 theaters)

11.8
11.8 / 1

10.6
10.6 / 1

88.68%

3

Wallace and Gromit

11.6
32.6 / 2

11.5
33.1 / 2

99.13%

4

Flightplan

7.6
71.8 / 4

6.5
70.8 / 4

83.08%

5

In Her Shoes

6.6
20.5 / 2

6.1
20.1 / 2

91.80%

6

Domino
(2,223 theaters)

6.2
6.2 / 1

4.7
4.7 / 1

68.09%

7

Two for the Money

5.3
17.2 / 2

4.7
16.6 / 2

87.23%

8

The Corpse Bride

4.5
48.6 / 5

3.6
47.8 / 5

75.00%

9

The Gospel

4.0
12.9 / 2

3.1
12.1 / 2

70.97%

10

A History of Violence

3.5
22.1 / 4

3.6
22.4 / 4

97.22%

11

Serenity

3.2
23.0 / 3

2.4
22.3 / 3

66.67%

12

Waiting

3.1
11.8 / 2

3.0
11.7 / 2

96.67%


10/7-9

1

Wallace and Gromit
(3,645 theaters)

14.8
14.9 / 1

16.0
16.0 / 1

92.50%

2

In Her Shoes
(2,808 theaters)

13.2
13.2 / 1

10.0
10.0 / 1

68.00%

3

Flightplan

9.2
59.3 / 3

10.8
60.9 / 3

85.19%

4

Two for the Money
(2,388 theaters)

8.2
8.2 / 1

8.7
8.7 / 1

94.25%

5

The Corpse Bride

6.9
42.5 / 4

6.5
42.1 / 4

93.85%

6

A History of Violence

5.2
16.8 / 3

5.1
16.6 / 3

98.04%

7

Serenity

4.8
17.4 / 2

5.4
18.0 / 2

88.89%

8

Just Like Heaven

4.0
44.2 / 3

3.5
43.6 / 3

85.71%

9

Waiting
(1,652 theaters)

3.6
3.6 / 1

6.0
6.0 / 1

60.00%

10

Into the Blue

3.5
12.5 / 2

4.8
13.9 / 2

72.92%

11

The Greatest Game Ever Played
(1,810 theaters)

3.3
8.1 / 2

3.9
8.7 / 2

84.62%

12

The Gospel
(969 theaters)

2.4
2.4 / 1

7.5
7.5 / 1

32.00%

 

Forecast Archive

2005

JULY-SEPTEMBER

APRIL-JUNE

JANUARY-MARCH

2004

OCTOBER-DECEMBER

JULY-SEPTEMBER

APRIL-JUNE

JANUARY-MARCH

2003

OCTOBER-DECEMBER

JULY-SEPTEMBER

APRIL-JUNE

JANUARY-MARCH

2002

OCTOBER-DECEMBER

JULY-SEPTEMBER

APRIL-JUNE

JANUARY-MARCH

2001
Average Accuracy: 86.47%

OCTOBER–DECEMBER

JULY-SEPTEMBER

APRIL-JUNE

JANUARY-MARCH

2000
Average Accuracy: 85.02%

OCTOBER-DECEMBER

JULY-SEPTEMBER

APRIL-JUNE

JANUARY-MARCH

1999

OCTOBER-DECEMBER

JULY-SEPTEMBER

APRIL-JUNE

JANUARY-MARCH

1998

Home



Copyright © 1998-2005 by Brandon Gray. All Rights Reserved.