January
3-5, 2003
Around the World
Round Up
by Kenan Bresnan
Full
Edition-
The
Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers was
met by many new challengers in the
international arena including Catch
Me If You Can, 8 Mile,
Two Weeks Notice, and Star
Trek: Nemesis, which all began
there foreign excursions in a dashing
style last weekend.
The Two
Towers, was, however, still the
victor hauling in an estimated $42.2m
from 7,573 playdates in 35 markets,
shooting its total to $293.6m. Overall
the sequel is tracking 26% better than
the original, which had racked up $232m
at the same stage (The Two Towers
has opened in a couple of
markets earlier than Fellowship
though). It continued to lead the U.K.
with $9,283,232 (£5,744,170) falling
just 29% for a massive total of
$61,741,788 (£38,403,392). Other
impressive totals include Germany ($52m),
France ($28.4m), Spain ($21.6m), and
Australia ($15.1m) through only two
weeks.
Harry
Potter & the Chamber of Secrets came
in second, tallying $28.2m for the
weekend from 8,000 engagements in 55
countries elevating its total to $519.6m
becoming the fifth-highest grosser
internationally of all time, leaping past
Independence Day's $507m.
The film debuted in Poland last weekend
because the Christmas holiday is actually
one of the worst times of the year there.
It kicked off the new year there with a
bang, grossing $1.46m in five days on 126
screens, 22% ahead of the original and
the industry's second biggest debut
behind The Lord of the Rings: The
Fellowship of the Ring. Japan's
vacation time did boost Potter's box
office results, however, as the film
raked in $6.1m over the weekend elevating
its total there to a mighty $113.1m. Potter's
biggest markets include the UK
($81,671,899), Germany ($57.5m), France
($48.4m), Italy ($22.2m), Spain ($21.9m),
Australia ($18.1m), South Korea ($15.7m),
Mexico ($15.6m), and Taiwan ($10.2m).
Die
Another Day hit $184m, spurred
on by an $11.7m frame on 3,820 screens in
53 countries. The newest James Bond flick
took an estimated $1.8m in six days on
147 screens in South Korea, 65% of the
last two editions at the same time. The
film has been hurt by the anti-U.S.
sentiment and a row over the way North
Koreans are portrayed in the film.
The 007
adventure did set new Bond benchmakrs in
New Zealand ($11,000 on 50, Fox's
fourth-highest entry) and the
Czech/Slovak Republics ($325,000 on 40, a
Fox record), Central America, and Egypt.
8 Mile was
proved it can be an international
blockbuster as well a domestic one. The
film topped Germany with an impressive
$6.1m debut on 455 prints, the
fifth-biggest opening locally for a
Universal release). The Eminem starrer
also opened in pole position in Australia
with $902,000, UIP's third best behind Mission:
Impossible II and American
Pie 2. 8 Mile was
received as well in the Asian markets,
where local music is the dominant money
generator. The film debuted in Hong Kong
($180,000 on 17) and Taiwan ($157,000 on
52).
Catch
Me If You Can hit off its
foreign crusade in Mexico to the tune of
$2,941,206 on 440 in five days, 54% ahead
of Cast Away and the
second biggest debut for Steven Spielberg
behind The Lost World: Jurassic
Park.
The
romantic comedy Two Weeks Notice banked
$2.8m in five days on 249 in Australia,
which was 15% better than that of My
Big Fat Greek Wedding and on par
with Bridget Jones' Diary.
Star Trek:
Nemesis focused on its fan base
in the U.K. and succeeded in gathering
large crowds for a solid debut of
$3,147,661 (£1,957,845) on 426 screens.
Minority
Report peaked at $210m, fueled
by Japan's hefty $31m through its fifth
weekend.
Gangs
of New York's total in Japan hit
$14.3m after three weekends, which is
good news for the other Asian markets.
Disney's Return
to Neverland cruised to $52m,
driven by Japan's $11.6m after it third
sojourn, where it's already outgrossed
the lifetime cumes of Atlantis:
The Lost Empire, Hercules,
and Pocahontas.
The
Hot Chick was cool in Australia,
fetching a meager $1m on 145, better than
The Animal, but that is
certainly not worthy of any bragging
rights.
Chicago
continued to awe London's West
End Theatre grossing $132,338 (£82,314)
over the weekend totaling now $438,492
(£272,742).
Cidade de
deus (City of God)
also played well in the United Kingdom,
opening at No. 6 with $493,854
(£307,177) on 76 screens, hailed by
Miramax as the market's third-highest
opening for a foreign-lingo film behind Crouching
Tiger, Hidden Dragon and Amelie.
Next
weekend The Two Towers opens
in Hong Kong on Jan. 9 and Bulgaria and
Estonia on Jan. 10. Unfaithful and
Ghost Ship make their
debuts in Japan. Spy Kids 2: The
Island of Lost Dreams opens
along with Catch Me If You Can in
Australia. Reign of Fire,
I Spy, Killing
Me Softly, One Hour
Photo, and Analyze That make
Germany very crowded. Gangs of
New York leads the screen count
in France with a very promising 785
screens followed by Mr. Deeds (241),
24 heures de la vie d'une femme (197),
and Broceliande (132). Gangs
of New York also opens in the
U.K. aside The Good Girl,
The Tuxedo, and a
limited release of Ghost Ship.
Gangs of
New York should have a
phenomenal run in Europe especially in
its first two markets, the U.K. and
France. Expect the film to have a $5.2
debut in France and a $6.2m opening in
the U.K. Catch Me If You Can looks
to be gold in Australia with a $2.9m
start while Germany is split between the
previous two winners, 8 Mile
and The Two Towers, and
the plethora of openers.
These
are my predicted foreign totals for the
selected films. (Red is the predicted
total while blue is the current
gross).
Gangs of
New York: This film has
everything in it to be a mega-blockbuster
performer overseas, where the
"R" rating doesn't hurt the box
office as much. In Europe it should have
excellent runs in the major territories,
but mediocre run in the smaller
territories. Germany and France could be
its highest moneymakers there. Its
action-packed premise and ending will
lure in Asian audiences where the film
should play well above average likely
peaking with $6m in South Korea and $4.2m
in Taiwan. Latin America will be the
tougher sell, but the film should still
play wonderfully (in box office terms at
least). Look for a total around $256m. $14.3m
The Lord of
the Rings: The Two Towers:
There's no doubt that this movie will
pass its predecessor's $548m
international total. Hell, it already has
$203m. Numbers continue to pour in that
put the sequel higher than the original.
Japan could be the real winner, despite
the fact that The Fellowship grossed
only $71m. (I say only in the fact that
it was beaten by Harry Potter,
A.I.: Artificail Intelligence,
and Star Wars: Episode II -
Attack of the Clones). Look for The
Two Towers to cross the century
mark there thanks to heavy DVD/VCD sales
in that market of the original film. I
expect The Two Towers to
gross $701m through its entire
run. $293.6m
Harry
Potter & the Chamber of Secrets:
Record numbers are already rolling in and
expect this trend to continue. Obviously
the drops will be more substantial than The
Sorcerer's Stone, but the
word-of-mouth leaves me wondering if this
could be the first major sequel* to
perform better than its predecessor
internationally. My rational answer would
be no, but my gut feeling tells me to go
the other way and vote yes. The
Chamber of Secrets is benefiting
heavily, as did The Sorcerer's
Stone, from staggered entrances
(aka: it opened in United Kingdom last
week, but doesn't open in France until
December 5). This is a smart move by
Warner Brothers because it puts the
opening one weekend before designated
holidays thus maximizing its box office
potential. Some films, like Attack
of the Clones, went all out
without waiting for the big box office
weekends. Look for The Chamber of
Secrets to take in $674 million. *=By major sequel
I mean a film that had grossed $300
million from its original. $510m
Die Another
Day: This movie is getting
fantastic publicity all over the glob
thanks to superb marketing schemes that
pulled in all types of sponsors and
weighed heavily on the action. This will
be another box office winner, but it may
have a chance to pass Goldeneye's
$244.9 million international
haul, becoming the highest
internationally grossing Bond film. All
signs point to yes so Die Another
Day should grab around $289 million. $184m
My Big Fat
Greek Wedding: This film was
able to top Red Dragon
in Australia...now that's impressive. It
has already grossed $16 milllion in the
U.K. and will surely continue climbing.
It has also broken the language barrier
grossing $2.8 million in Greece, over $1
million in Switzerland, and $500,000+ in
Israel. This film will open well and hold
well in all international territories
unless it stumbles in Asia. Either way Greek
Wedding has set up an
opportunity to cross the century mark
internationally. It could end up with $111 million and may get crazy
and top $200 million. Who knows with this
film. American word-of-mouth has really
streched across the seven seas and
reviews have never been better. Release
dates: November 29 - Spain; December 6 -
Italy; December 12 - Mexico; January 23 -
Germany. $53,403,604
Red Dragon:
It is not looking so hot. It has stumbled
in the U.K., Taiwain, and now Australia.
Don't expect it to gain ground anywhere
as Hannibal seemed to
leave a sour taste in everyone's mouth.
It's strongest markets should be in
Germany, Japan, and France. It could
peter out to $117
million a far cry
from Hannibal's $184.8
million. $93,386,792
The
Bourne Identity: Grosses have
started to fall so it looks now like The
Bourne Identity will likely
cross the century mark and then quickly
come to a hault with $104 million. $77,033,238
Road
to Perdition: Judging from
returns in Mexico and Germany Perdition
may have some trouble crossing
the century mark. It should do well in
the Asian markets and I'm surprise it
isn't performing as well in Europe.
Perhaps it will pick up steam with
word-of-mouth, but for now it looks like
it's headed for $79 million although a strong
showing from Japan could push that up
past $150 million. Strongest markets
should be: Japan, UK, South Korea.
Release dates: December 13 - Italy $67.6 million
Signs:
M. Night Shyamalan's movies have been
extremely bankable in the international
market. Both The Sixth Sense and
Unbreakable out did
their domestic totals, grossing $379.3
million and $154.5 million each
respectively. Unbreakable was
particularly strong in the U.K. ($16.5
million), Germany ($13.4 million), France
($17.1 million), and Japan ($24.5
million). Look for Signs to
improve on those numbers. Those markets
plus Australia should be the highlights
of Signs' run. It could
finish with around $221 million. $179,949,000
Austin
Powers in Goldmember: Its UK
opening was spectacular, but still not as
good as in the states, comparatively
speaking. The Spy Who Shagged Me
only grossed $104.9 million with $41.3
million of that being for the U.K. alone.
Australia and the United Kingdom are its
key markets, but in the non-English
speaking territories, Austin
Power's mojo fails. Other than
Germany, Austria, and Mexico it will have
problems, especially in France, Spain,
Italy, and Japan. It will probably
perform better than its predecessor's,
but not by much at $137 million. $79,528,426
Stuart
Little 2: The film regained some
strength in both Japan and the U.K. and
has done well ever since. It should end
up with $98
million. $101.3m
Minority
Report: Not a great start in
Australia, but I suspect business for
Spielberg's latest should pick up there.
Elsewhere I believe Minority
Report has clear sailing. It
could grab $30 million from the U.K. and
about $15-$20 from France. In Germany I
expect about $35 million and Japan should
easily be its biggest. Look at A.I.
It grabbed a $12 million opening for a
total of $71 million and that was dispite
lackluster performace elsewhere. Tack on
what many believe a better movie (I
myself do not) it could gross $85
million. I predict $270 million for I
grand total. Release dates: December 7 -
Japan. $210
million
Lilo
& Stitch: The newest
animated film from Disney is getting more
release dates closer the domestic preem.
Unlike previous Disney cartoon's (Atlantis,
Tarzan) Lilo
will open in most of Europe, with the
exception of Scandinavia and the UK, in
July. The only direct competition there
is Spirit, but it should
open at least three weeks before or after
Stitch. I like this move
by Disney. There's a lot more money to be
made in the Summer than in November for
animated films. In France look for about
$26 million (Atlantis
grabbed in $22 million). In Germany look
for around $18 million and the UK about
$36 million. In Japan I expect $26
million. All tolled the film should be
very prosperous with $115 million. Release
dates: March 8 - Japan. $99,001,075
Scooby-Doo:
It is doing surprisingly well overseas.
Look for about $131 million in its
entire run. Its strongest markets should
be Germany, Mexico (by far), and Brazil.
It has had great starts in all Latin
American markets. $122.1m
The
Sum of All Fears: The Asian
markets are doing well and those should
be its strongest performers. It opens in
late July and August in most of Europe,
which is very smart I might add and
should be the best international
performer of the Jack Ryan series. It
could grab $115
million with its strongest
markets in Japan, the U.K., and Taiwan. $74,668,503
Spirit:
Stallion of the Cimarron:
Althought its picking up steam in France,
thanks to school holidays, the film will
finish with around $61 million. Release
Dates: Italy (Dec. 20), Japan, Poland
(Oct. 18), Bulgaria, and Russia ahead. $42,334,293
About
a Boy: $101 million - $87,996,583
*Numbers
are changed whenever a market produces
unexpected numbers.
|